Superforecaster

We’re seeking elite superforecasters—especially those affiliated with institutions like the Good Judgment Project, Swift Centre, Rand Forecasting Initiative (RFI), or the International Institute of Forecasters (IIF)—to contribute structured, high-quality forecasts across domains such as geopolitics, macroeconomics, and global events. This is a rare opportunity to collaborate with top experts and researchers shaping the future of AI forecasting models.

2. Key Responsibilities

Deliver calibrated, evidence-backed forecasts on complex, real-world questions

Document forecasting rationale, methodology, and sources with clarity and structure

Participate in peer review and collaborative forecast refinement

Advise on prompt quality, scoring frameworks, and resolution criteria

Support the evaluation of AI-generated forecasts against human benchmarks

3. Ideal Qualifications

Recognized affiliation with a forecasting organization (e.g., GJP, Swift Centre, RFI, IIF)

Demonstrated forecasting accuracy and calibration over multiple years

Experience contributing to high-stakes or public forecasting tournaments

Strong analytical, probabilistic, and written communication skills

Comfortable working independently and asynchronously on structured tasks

4. More About the Opportunity

Remote and asynchronous — work on your own schedule

Expected commitment: ~10–20 hours/week

5. Compensation & Contract Terms

$140–245/hour for U.S.-based applicantt

You’ll be classified as an independent contractor

6. Application Process

Submit your  profile or resume to get started

You’ll complete a brief form

We’ll follow up within a few days with next steps